You just conducted an experiment using probability.
1) Was your initial conjecture close to the actual results? Why do you think it was or wasn't?
2) What did this experiment have to do with Theoretical and Experimental Probability?
3) What was the purpose of this activity? What were you supposed to learn?
1) Was your initial conjecture close to the actual results? Why do you think it was or wasn't?
2) What did this experiment have to do with Theoretical and Experimental Probability?
3) What was the purpose of this activity? What were you supposed to learn?
1) I think our initial conjecture was close to the actual results. I cannot say why it was or wasn't because it was pure luck. I predicted I would have 25 wins in 50 trials and I got 23. I cannot control what I get because my prediction was it was %50 chance that I would win but the actual result was that he won and we cannot control that because it was a %50 chance.
ReplyDelete2) In this experiment, Theoretical and Experimental Probability was used because we had to make a guess on how many wins we would get. The experimental probability happened when we were actually playing the game and recording how many wins/losses that we got.
3) I think the purpose of this activity was to understand that Theoretical Probability and Experimental Probability will be in every experiment you do. I think it was also to help us learn that even though you are certain that the theoretical probability will be something, the experimental probability is not up to you, it's pure luck on what you get.
1) My initial conjecture was nowhere near close to the actual results. I thought there would be a 50% chance but it was more like a 70% chance. I think it was like this because of pure luck no skill really involved in the game my partner and me made up.
ReplyDelete2)This experiment proves that theoretical probability can differ to experimental probability.
3) The purpose was to see the relevance of a making a theoretical guess. I learned that theoretical guesses won't always be the same the experimental probability.
1). I think our initial conjecture was close to our actual results because we guessed that we would have a even chance of wining. The score in the end was 27 to me and 23 to my partner which was only two away from our even chance guess. I Think it was close because the more we played the closer it got to becoming an even chance which was what we guessed.
ReplyDelete2). This experiment was related to theoretical and experimental probability because in theory we had an even chance to win in our game so the score should have been 50/50 but it was actually 27 to 23 in reality, i think that if we had kept playing the score would have gone back and forth whilst staying around the 50% marker.
3). The purpose of this activity was to teach us about Theoretical and Experimental Probability. We were supposed to learn that if something is in theory it will not always be the same when you put it into practice.
1) I think that I was pretty close, getting 42%. We both had even chances of winning, which was 50% but she won by 8%. I started with a big winning streak but towards the end it got closer to the middle and ended up by her winning. I guess she got lucky!
ReplyDelete2) This experiment has to do with Theoretical and Experimental probability because Our theoretical probability was 50% but out Experiment turned out to be different.
3) The purpose of this activity was to understand what the difference between the Theoretical and Experimental probabilities and also we got the chance to make the game. After this game I understand about Theoretical and Experimental probabilities a lot more.
Alice:
ReplyDelete1) My results were close to my theoretical probability. I think this happened because I had more of a chance than my partner. In the end I won 30 rolls and my Teun won 20.
2) This experiment had to do with Theoretical and Experiment probability because we had to calculate the theoretical probability before we started and then compared it to the experimental probability at the end to see if it matched up.
3) The purpose of this activity was to practice using theoretical and experimental probability in a game.We were supposed to learn how to calculate and show probability in different ways.
1) Our initial conjecture was quite close to the actual results. We both had even chances of winning. 50%. But I turned out to have more winnings then my partner. I won by 8% or 8 wins. I think if we had kept on playing it would turn out to be equal. This is because at the beginning my partner was winning but closer to the end we went into a zig-zag pattern and finally at 50 I ended up winning.
ReplyDelete2) I think this experiment had to do with theoretical and experimental probability because we calculated what could have happened and it still turned out differently. We have to use both ways to find out the true probability.
3) The purpose to this activity was to tell us that even if something is supposed to happen in theory it still has a chance of doing the opposite.
1. Before we played the game I was supposed to get 5/12 chance of winning which is about 41%. As a result I got 40% after the game so the probability was correct. I think this happened because if you roll 2 dice they mostly add up to a number bigger than 6 and to win I needed to roll a 6 and below. I had to roll the dice 40 times.
ReplyDelete2. This experiment had to do with theoretical and experimental probability because before the experiment I had to predict the probability of me throwing 2 dice and trying to get 6 and below with throwing 40 times. After the experiment I had to check what the percentage of me throwing the dice 40 times and trying to get 6 and below.
3. We had to learn about experimental and theoretical probability and to see if you can rely on probability. If probability is always correct.
Was your initial conjecture close to the actual results? Why do you think it was or wasn’t?
ReplyDeleteYes it was near the 50% mark but it did change over the course of the game.
It shows that the theoretical possibilities are different from each other.
The purpose was of this experiment that the outcomes of the theoretic and experimental are not the same.
Probability Trials
ReplyDelete1.My initial conjecture was relatively close to the actual results. My initial guess was around 50% but it turned out to be 60% and 40%. I think that the guess was inaccurate because we didn't take enough time in calculating the probability
2. Our theoretical probability was what we thought was going to happen, our guess, and the experimental probability was what actually happened.
3. I think the aim of the is activity was to prove that theoretical probability is not always what really happens
1) My initial conjecture was really close to my actual results. I think that it was because in my game it was very unlikely for Mr Jobe to win against me, so I calculated that I had a 5/6 chance of winning, and Mr Jobe had a 1/6 chance of winning.
ReplyDelete2) This experiment showed us the difference between theoretical and experimental probability.
3) By doing this experiment, we learned that theoretical probability isn’t always exactly right, and what the difference is between theoretical and experimental probability, and I think that was the purpose of the activity.
1. I think that my initial conjecture was very close to my actual results. But I am not very sure why, since every time we shook the shaker it was just luck. I think our conjecture just happened to be close to the actual results by pure luck, because in the beginning I predicted that there would be a 58% chance of me winning and in the end I got 60% which is almost exactly what I predicted.
ReplyDelete2. I think Theoretical and Experimental Probability related to the game because theoretically me and my opponent should have had a 50/50 chance of of winning, and in the end my opponent ended up on 41% and I ended up on 58%. Like Max said I think if my opponent and I kept playing we would have gotten closer and closer to the middle.
3. I think that the purpose of this activity was for us to learn that, what is supposed to happen is almost never what actually happens.
Our initial conjecture was very close to our results. I don’t know why it did because the game was pure luck and it just happened to be close to our conjecture. My prediction was 50% and I got 40% which was only 10% off my prediction which I think is quite close.
ReplyDeleteThe experiment had to do with theoretical probability and experimental probability because we had to calculate the theoretical probability at the beginning so we could compare it at the end with the experimental probability to see if they were close or matched up.
3. I think the purpose of this activity is to practice using theoretical probability and experimental probability.
1) I think that my initial conjecture was pretty close to my actual results. I predicted that my results would be around the 50% mark and they were at around 40%. My partner had 29 wins and I has 21, so he won by 8 number of wins. I think that this happened because me and my partner both had even chances of winning; at the beginning it was not very accurate but towards the end it was a very straight line and we took turns winning.
ReplyDelete2)This experiment had to do with theoretical and experimental probability because before we started, we thought that we should have had a 50% chance of winning and at the end of the experiment it changed to what we originally thought would happen.
3) The purpose of this activity was to see if what we predicted was true and we were supposed to learn that the probability of what we guessed can change throughout the game and we cannot depend on it.
1) The objective of this game was to roll two dices, and if my two dices added up to be an odd number then I would get the point. If my partner got two dices that added up to be an even number then he would get the point. My initial conjecture was to get a 50% chance of about 25 wins. My initial conjecture was over my results but close to my actual results. I got a 60% chance of over 30 wins, but on the second game I got a 70% of estimated 35 wins. Then I realised that my theoretical probability cannot be 50% because I had a less chance of winning.
ReplyDelete2) This experiment was a good way for me to test Experimental probability, because theoretically my guess was that it was a 50/50 chance. I realized that the sum of both my numbers has to be odd. For example, if I rolled 2 dices and got an even and an odd number, that would sum up to be an odd number. (E+O=O) If I rolled two odd numbers, it would sum up to be an even number. (O+O=E) If I rolled two even numbers it would sum up to be an even number. (E+E=E) So, in this case my partner had 2/3 (66.6%) chance of winning, and I had a 1/3 (33.3%) chance of winning. In the end, I won both the games, by getting a 60% in the first round and by getting a 70% in the second game.
3) I think the purpose of this activity was to find out that Theoretical Probability will not always be a secure answer to rely on because Theoretical probability is only just an educated guess. We also learn that the Experimental Probability is mostly based on random act and we cannot control our end result would be. If I had done this experiment alot more times, maybe the theoretical and experimental probability could become closer to my actual results.
1) My experimental probability percentage was pretty close to the theoretical probability percentage. I think it was that way because when something is theoretically unlikely, then there isn’t much chance that it’s going to be more likely, but chance can make things more likely or less likely. It did that in my game, me beating the odds by 6% and Shu was less likely to win than expected
ReplyDelete2) It made us realize that when the odds are calculated It’s theoretical probability, but when chance changes the odds of experimental probability that is called experimental probability through a win-loss game of beating the odds getting beaten by the odds
3) That if you predict something by calculations that doesn’t mean it’s going to happen. Like today I calculated winning 36% of the time but ended up winning 42% of the time, because chance gave me a 6% winning increase.
ReplyDeleteOur initial conjuncture was actually 100% accurate, I think this is because we made the game fair so we always had a 50/50 chance of winning.We used theoretical probability to guess our results but we tested the theory and found out the experimental probability. The experiment showed us that you can almost guess your results but your guess might not always be 100% accurate.
1) My initial conjecture was 50% and the actual result was 50%. It was 50% because the game was if my partner, Nina rolled the dice and then she adds those two numbers and if she gets an odd number she wins and if I roll the the dice and add up the two number and I get an even number I win. There was an even amount of even and odd numbers so the probability would be 50%.
ReplyDelete2) This experiment had to do with experimental probability because we first guessed the probability and then we did the game to see if our probability was correct.
3) I think the purpose of this game is to learn more about probability, theoretical and experimental probability.